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Friday, April 03, 2009

The Dissipating Wealth

In the comments on yesterday's post, an anonymous commenter made an important point that brought to mind a clearer explanation of the problem the Jewish community now faces.

The great majority of the Jewish community who work are in white-collar, service industries. Lawyers, accountants, finance and real estate businessmen; even teachers, therapists, psychologists, and doctors. Within the community as a whole, almost no goods are produced other than those meant to be sold within the community itself. There are almost no goods produced within the Orthodox Jewish community that are designed to be sold to the mass public.

What this means for us as a community is that when we go to a store and buy a product, whether food or a toy or some home accessory, we are either sending money into a circle within the community [such as baker -> grocer -> shipper -> factory -> factory owner -> baker], with any profits and earnings in between siphoning off a portion to government, or we are just sending the money straight out of the community to companies that are not part of the Orthodox Jewish community.*

The only way for us to produce even those goods that remain within the community and the only way for us to import the goods that are from outside of the community is by bringing wealth into the community. There are two ways to bring wealth into a community:
  • 1) Export goods outside of the community in exchange for money or goods; or
  • 2) Be a service provider of some sort, whether financial services, medicine, etc., to those outside of the community.
The Orthodox Jewish community does not do almost any of the first option, which makes us fully dependent on the second option. Money comes into the community from those specific sectors, and that money is then passed around the community as each section buys the goods they need from one another. Unfortunately, Option 2 is not something that we can control whatsoever, as it requires there to be a desire for the services we provide. In a down economy such as the one we are in, service industries are often the hardest hit. With this spigot of wealth turned off, the entire community dries up. There's no wealth coming in, which means there's no wealth to send around the community to let each segment buy the goods they need. Very quickly, we switch from a position of affluence to a position of poverty.*

What is especially difficult about this is that at present, we don't have a direct solution to this issue. Our professionals and service providers will have to patiently wait out the downturn for the most part. There are only two real offsets that can be reasonably pursued - cutting costs, which we should certainly be doing regardless, and creatively coming up with ways to produce more: And that production has to be directed not just at our own community but at the broader world.**

Finally, and most importantly, we don't have much time.


* 1) I am not at all advocating the idea of "we must buy only from frum stores". If other places can produce the same goods for less, we should certainly not pay extra to get those goods.
2) Particularly because it costs us more to produce those same goods, we end up with an inflated internal economy. Jewish stores charge higher prices to cover their costs, and since our wealth is coming from outside the community while we spend inside, we don't have an accurate sense of what these things should cost, so we're not even fully aware of the built-in inflated cost. Once the wealth is gone, we're still not only missing the wealth, but paying inflated prices on what we need, too.

** This is probably the main reason smaller Jewish communities tend to be far more stable economically than larger ones. In addition to the reduced inflationary spending within the community, any businesses are directed far more at the greater public than at the Orthodox Jewish segment, meaning that they are bringing wealth from outside sources into the community.

14 comments:

  1. These are the exact principles I have been talking about for years. I have not seen it in print until now. This is a very important theory to the success of the Jewish community.

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  2. One area you did not touch on and which explains why frum Jews of today's generation are not "producing" things that are going to the general public. That general public is also not producing anywhere near at the levels they did when I was much younger. The US imports so much of what is used from outside of the country. In my parent's generation and my generation there were lots of frum people who produced goods aimed at the outside world. Many owned large and small factories, particularly those that produced clothing and other "soft" goods. Many of them were sub-sontractors for "name" brands whose labels would be on the goods. Those types of goods are mostly not being produced here anymore. Three factory owners here in our community closed their businesses in the last ten years--no way they could compete with the cheap labor costs and thus the cheaper prices of the goods produced.

    There's a problem in thinking that only white collar jobs can bring money into the community, money that arises outside of the frum community. Two members of the frum community here own full-service gas stations and garages. A few are master plumbers and electricians who don't limit their services to only the frum community. There are two building contractors who work borough-wide, not just the frum communities. Another owns a cleaning service that specializes in commercial property--almost no frum customers. It is not only white collar workers who bring money into the community.

    But whether white collar or blue collar, you have to have people trained and educated to do those jobs, and there we are falling down on the job. Some are and too many aren't.

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  3. Anon - Thank you!

    ProfK - Agreed that the general public has much of the same issue. The irony is that we faced it first, approached it with a "let's use debt and our brains will make up the difference!" approach, and failed miserably when that didn't last forever. Now we have a government doing the same.

    I just felt that was beyond the scope of my focus here.

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  4. Very good and true points. But in the end the US and other western countries have gradually become more and more service economies.

    Your point about the high-cost of kosher products is especially critical, being that the Chinese who produce everything at a low price have helped keep inflation in check for years; but this is not true (mostly) for kosher products where the market is smaller.

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  5. ProfK - That general public is also not producing anywhere near at the levels they did when I was much younger.

    What do you mean by this? We are producing/manufacturing at an almost record level, however we are doing it with fewer and fewer people (the definition of "increasing productivity").

    Here is a link to chart I found -
    http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_otfwl2zc6Qc/R9rmdbtDtmI/AAAAAAAAD9s/dPFlI68U9G0/s1600-h/ip.bmp

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  6. Harry - Agreed as to becoming service economies, but the US should still be producing more than it does. It's held back by different things, such as unions and the like, but often by sheer laziness.

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  7. Anon - I think she means that per capita and because of our efficiencies, we should be producing far more than we do - however, we instead decide to buy it from elsewhere. This is fine if they can produce it for less, but there's no reason a company in the US shouldn't be able to (say) figure out how to develop cars as well for as cheap as a Japanese company. (Though technically those companies were smart enough to shift production to the US to make that more difficult.)

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  8. Ezzie - This is fine if they can produce it for less, but there's no reason a company in the US shouldn't be able to (say) figure out how to develop cars as well for as cheap as a Japanese company.

    But there is a reason. The US car companies spend more than $1500 on each car to provide for their previous retirees. That alone makes a big difference.

    Shavuah Tov.

    Mark

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  9. I think she means that per capita

    But per capita, we already produce far more than ANY country in the world!!!

    If we improve the per capita number substantially, we might end up producing everything the entire world needs :-)

    Mark

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  10. the unions are needed to protect the employees from the companies which wouldn't mind having dangerous workplaces, or giving no benefits. the problem is that they have too much power in the hiring and firing of employees. also they have become a political tool to demonize certain political views

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  11. Having worked for a Fortune 50 as a top-mid management and spent years being forced (by senior mgmt) into more and more outsourcing, I say the US and Western economies as they've been for the past 25 years are done for.

    We've spent intense effort to maximize profits while ignoring local impact. I've watched outsourcing moving higher and higher up the employee value chain, as WE TRAIN OUR FUTURE COMPETITION to do those service jobs you were talking about. The fact that we're destroying our local customer base by outsourcing and moving that industrial production overseas has been irrelevant.

    I've had these discussions with senior management. They tell me they agree, but the demand of the day is lower cost, higher profit. If they don't deliver that they will be punished, and if they do rewarded.

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  12. Mark, Harry - I agree the problem there is very much based on unions. When I said no reason, I meant no good one. :)

    But per capita, we already produce far more than ANY country in the world!!!

    If we improve the per capita number substantially, we might end up producing everything the entire world needs :-)


    LOL, agreed on both counts; however, we still could be doing way better.

    Akiva - Somewhat agreed, though as those countries grow and become wealthier, they'll have similar issues as people demand higher wages and similar regulations. The US needs to get back to understanding how to do things ourselves.

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  13. May I just say that you sound like an extremely nice, thoughtful person.

    I would also like to point out that if Orthodox Jews in the NY metro area weren't so materialistic, they wouldn't be falling so hard right now. I think most Orthodox Jews these days worship money, not G-d.

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  14. Anon - Thank you.

    It's certainly one of the major issues.

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