Before I get back to work... I said a few days ago that I think the polls - which currently are predicting leads or close races for many Democrats - are very wrong. Today, Instapundit linked to Dan Riehl's post about 2002 which actually tracked many of the close races and did this exact comparison: The pre-election polls vs. the actual results. Excerpts:
Those are just some of the examples. Other examples were off by as much as 16%. One common theme: All the polls were off to the left.
Max Cleland, what can I say? Result in bold. Are you noticing a pattern here?
Cleland 49 46
Chamblis 49 53
My, my .. the beat goes on.
TexasAnd going back to Oct. 22, these pearls of wisdom from DailyKos via Charlie Cook:
Kirk 48 43.3
Coryn 49 55.3
Cook notes that Dems have a good shot at taking GOP seats in Arkansas, New Hampshire and Colorado, while the race in North Carolina has become unexpectedly competitive...Consider, perhaps the surest takeover bet is Arkansas, a GOP seat. And if the GOP loses New Hampshire, which I believe is likely, then forget it. There's no way the GOP can take the Senate.
Too bad Dems lost all of the above by 5 - 10 points.
Something worth remembering... both when deciding whether to vote or not, and when wondering why all the polls were wrong.